Ethereum Nears All-Time High Despite Alarming Bearish Signals


Ethereum rose on Tuesday, partially because of its positive correlation with Bitcoin, the top cryptocurrency that also notched gains, and partially because the Chicago Mercantile Exchange will offer Ethereum Futures effectively from February 8, 2021.

Trades flocked into the second-largest cryptocurrency during the early European session, pushing its prices against the US dollar up by 6.07 percent to a week-to-date high of $1,458. That is just $19 shy of its recently-established record level.

Technical chartists highlighted Ethereum’s latest upside move to validate a bullish pattern known as the Ascending Channel. Crypto YouTuber Lark David presented a diagram that showed ETH/USD maintaining a short-term price ceiling with a horizontal trendline.

Meanwhile, the analyst also noted a sequence of lower highs forming beneath the horizontal resistance, presenting it as a super-bullish outlook for Ethereum.

Ethereum, ETHUSD, ETHBTC, ETHUSDT, cryptocurrency
Ethereum tests the upper trendline of the so-called Ascending Channel pattern for a breakout move, according to Lark Davis. Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com
Ethereum tests the upper trendline of the so-called Ascending Channel pattern for a breakout move, according to Lark Davis. Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

Per the technical description, the breakout target of Ethereum’s Ascending Triangle chart stands over $2,000.

But…

Ethereum’s latest upside move alarmed about a growing bearish divergence outlook on a daily timeframe chart.

So it appears, the ETH/USD exchange rate rose in defiance of its falling volume and depreciating momentum. Technically, it risked slowing down the prevailing uptrend at one point in time, which may follow up with a deeper retracement downwards.

Ethereum, ETHUSD, ETHBTC, ETHUSDT, cryptocurrency
Ethereum bearish divergence risks sending its prices lower. Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com
Ethereum bearish divergence risks sending its prices lower. Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

Meanwhile, a twisted version of the Descending Triangle pattern showed Ethereum trading inside a Falling Wedge structure. In retrospect, a Falling Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms after an asset forms a sequence of higher highs and lower highs inside a contracting channel.

After or ahead of hitting the apex—the point where the two trendlines converge—the asset falls lower by as much as the Wedge’s maximum height. That puts ETH/USD at risk of plunging to mid-$1,000.

The bearish analogy somewhat matches the divergence, as discussed above. For now, it remains the only short-term technical barrier between Ethereum and a $2,000-valuation.

Long-term Scenario for Ethereum

A correction could prompt ETH/USD to retest its 50-day simple moving average wave (blue) near $1,025—almost in line with the Wedge target. Bulls could find the level attractive enough to increase their spot long positions, causing a rebound.

The ETH/USD exchange rate could then attempt a breakout move towards its 20-day simple moving average (green) and continue moving upward should the fundamentals agree.

Ryan Selkis of Messari brings one bullish catalyst to the forefront.

As per the researcher, Ethereum could attain more adoption from mainstream traders and investors after the recent WallStreetFrenzy fiasco. In retrospect, trading platform Robinhood had halted the trading of heavily-shorted stocks after an army of individual daytraders started making bullish bets on them.

“Buy bitcoin to hedge against inflation, and potentially make a lot of money, but also to tell your government to f*ck off,” wrote Mr. Selkis. “Buy ethereum to secure the fledging decentralized financial system and potentially make a lot of money, but also to tell your bank to f*ck off.”

“Buy DeFi assets to boost liquidity, additional investment in better financial infrastructure, and potentially to make a lot of money, but also to tell your brokerage, lender, or asset manager to f*ck off,” he added.





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